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Thread: The Pilot Shortage

  1. #1
    Registered User NoOtPilot's Avatar
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    The Pilot Shortage


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    is very much alive, slightly delayed but the shortage hasn’t gone away...it will be a serious problem by 2023.

    Distraction is a great tool, pilots are easily distracted, by rumors, let’s see if unions stay focused or let the companies win this battle.

    Pilots, you still have the upper hand!
    Cautious how you play!

    The pandemic is a crisis bigger than 9/11 that will not go to waste, unless you look in the right direction.
    “I always tell the truth. Even when I lie.”

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    Registered User NoOtPilot's Avatar
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    The time to sell the flow has arrived...again!

    Stand by for news.

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    Registered User ardvark's Avatar
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    Exlax will help those with difficulty with flow. Just a suggestion.
    50 billion in debt and growing.

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    I said the recovery for pilots would be more V shaped than the doom and gloomers were saying.
    _______________________________________________

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    Registered User NoOtPilot's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cujo665 View Post
    I said the recovery for pilots would be more V shaped than the doom and gloomers were saying.
    100%agreed, 2023. Management is on a timeline, few contracts must be negotiated before 2023 arrive.

    “Never let a good crisis go to waste.”

    After 2023, all back to normal, just 30% smaller due to the rightsize of the airline according to Mr Parker.

    Wonder what that 30% would mean for all labor groups. 🤔

    “Parker cautions that while the recent demand trends are encouraging, on a business level they hold little value – for now. “When we’re flying 20% of our schedule, even with 50% load factors we’re [still] down 90% of our revenue.”
    -May 2020-

    1Q21 was more of the same, 2Q21 will set the stage.

    The truth is learned, never told.
    Last edited by NoOtPilot; 05-11-2021 at 09:00 AM.

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    If its 30 percent smaller at American and the reduction is on narrowbodys the the flow will be overall 30 percent less. I believe.

  7. #7
    Registered User NoOtPilot's Avatar
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    Flow formula: for each 125 pilots Envoy lose from their list, the flow slows down by 1 pilot a month.

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    Registered User ardvark's Avatar
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    Sorry, I said it wrong, its apa scope will reduce the amount of small and large rj aircraft doe to aa narrowbody reduction which in turn reduces the staffing required at envoy. With the reduction (if it happens) will mean over staffing at aa which will require less hiring which in turn will reduce the amount of annual total flows which in turn will extend your stay at envoy. Maybe

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    Retirements of pilots at "Top of Scale Pay" at AA, could mitigate several issues.

    p.s. Isn't Doomsday at AAG to occur this year (2021)? If not? What Happened?

  10. #10
    Registered User NoOtPilot's Avatar
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    Not over yet, as a matter of fact, the show hasn’t even started, but a “Flowback Agreement” better known as (Furlough Protection) could show up again. The movie 🎥 is about to begin.

    P.S. do not forget that the 2001 hires at AA were furloughed twice.
    Last edited by NoOtPilot; 05-18-2021 at 10:51 PM.

  11. #11
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    True the flow throughs want flow back
    With seniority from there w/o with years of service for pay.

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